RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - Arizona Senate - McSally vs. Kelly

Democrats Joe Biden and Mark Kelly are doing “darn good” in Arizona in recent jaw-dropping polls. An additional 12 percent said they were not sure. In July, the lead was nine percentage points, and in May, Kelly had enjoyed a lead that was as large as 13 points.The poll notes that while Kelly's support level has dropped, McSally's level of support remains unchanged from July to August, with 43% of voters in both polls preferring her over Kelly.

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Kelly has led McSally in nearly all public polls that have been conducted this year. The margin of error is 3 percentage points. PHOENIX – A poll released Tuesday found that U.S. Sen. Martha McSally’s support has remained the same, but she has still cut into Democrat Mark Kelly’s lead.Kelly led OH Predictive Insights’ poll 48%-43% but he fell below 50% for the first time. ©2020 FOX Television Stations until MON 8:00 PM MST, Northwest Plateau, Lake Havasu and Fort Mohave, Northwest Deserts, Grand Canyon Country, Northern Gila County, Lake Mead National Recreation Area, Yavapai County Valleys and Basins, Western Pima County Including Ajo/Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument, Tohono O'odham Nation including Sells, Tucson Metro Area including Tucson/Green Valley/Marana/Vail, South Central Pinal County including Eloy/Picacho Peak State Park, Southeast Pinal County including Kearny/Mammoth/Oracle, Upper Gila River and Aravaipa Valleys including Clifton/Safford, Parker Valley, Kofa, Yuma County, Central La Paz, Aguila Valley, Southeast Yuma County, Gila River Valley, Northwest Valley, Tonopah Desert, Gila Bend, Buckeye/Avondale, Cave Creek/New River, Deer Valley, Central Phoenix, North Phoenix/Glendale, New River Mesa, Scottsdale/Paradise Valley, Rio Verde/Salt River, East Valley, Fountain Hills/East Mesa, South Mountain/Ahwatukee, Southeast Valley/Queen Creek, Superior, Northwest Pinal County, West Pinal County, Apache Junction/Gold Canyon, Tonto Basin, Sonoran Desert Natl Monument, San Carlos, Dripping Springs, Globe/Miami from TUE 8:00 AM MST until TUE 11:00 PM MST, Lake Mead NRA/Colorado River-AZ side, Northwest Deserts/Northwest Plateau

Democrat Mark Kelly has a double-digit lead over Sen. Martha McSally (R) among Arizona voters, according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday. PHOENIX - A new poll shows Senator Martha McSally still behind her Democratic challenger, Mark Kelly, in Arizona's Senate election in November, but Kelly's lead is shrinking.. The same Fox News poll found that presumptive Democratic presidential nominee The Hill 1625 K Street, NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 tel | 202-628-8503 faxThe contents of this site are ©2020 Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc. Democratic candidate Mark Kelly is leading Republican Sen. Martha McSally among Arizona voters, according to a new poll. He was up by as many as 13 percentage points in May.“Kelly got a little less likable [since the last poll],” OH Predictive Insights chief of research Mike Noble told “One of the main drivers is the negative advertising coming from McSally and Republican-aligned groups.”McSally also has chipped away at the deficit among independents.

According to a poll conducted by Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights that was released on August 11, Kelly is ahead of McSally by five percentage points. Mark Kelly for Senate PO Box 27202 The Hill 1625 K Street, NW Suite 900 Washington DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 tel | 202-628-8503 faxThe contents of this site are ©2020 Capitol Hill Publishing Corp., a subsidiary of News Communications, Inc. The seat was once held by John McCain, who According to officials with OH Predictive Insights, the poll was conducted from August 3 to August 4, from a sample of likely voters, via a blend of live phone calls and Interactive Voice Response (IVR) phone surveys.604 people were surveyed, according to officials, with a margin of error of plus or minus four percent.This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
The Cook Political report ranks the race as a “toss-up.” McSally was appointed to her seat last year after it was vacated following the death of Republican Sen. The survey of 603 was taken Aug. 3-4.The day after the Arizona primaries, McSally challenged Kelly to a series of seven debates. The poll is based on a survey of 1,002 Arizona voters and was conducted May 30 to June 2. Kelly is married to former Rep. Gabby Giffords (D-Ariz.), who has been a prominent gun control advocate since retiring from Congress after surviving an assassination attempt in 2012.Democrats are looking to flip at least three Senate seats in 2020 to take control of the upper chamber.

"One of the main drivers narrowing the race is the negative advertising coming from McSally and Republican-aligned groups like the National Republican Senatorial Committee, mostly centering on Kelly’s business ties to a Chinese company," read a portion of a statement released by officials with OH Predictive Insights.The poll also notes that Kelly's lead over McSally with independent voters has dropped, but McSally's support amongst independent voters has not changed.“If McSally continues on her current flight path, she has a shot at winning this election,” says OH Predictive Insights Data Analyst Jacob Joss, in the statement.Whoever wins the seat in November will have to campaign in 2022 to keep the seat for six years. Her campaign said she agreed to three debates in Phoenix and Tucson. From the Republican uh-oh department: Arizona Sen. Martha McSally is sliding in the polls, dropping four percentage points in a month. Only 3 percent of Democrats, within the poll’s margin of error, said they would vote for the Republican senator in November.


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